Monthly Rainfall Forecast - National Meteorological Service of Belize
  • Residents living in flood-prone areas in the south are advised to be on the alert for the possibility of localized and flash flooding.
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • AT 3 AM: -Tropical Depression Kirk was centered near latitude 9.5 North, longitude 37.4 West. Kirk was moving W at 24 mph with maximum sustained windsof 35 mph. - Subtropical Storm Leslie was near 32.6N 48.6 W. It was moving S at 6 mph with maximum winds of 40 mph. -NO THREAT TO BELIZE AT THIS TIME. Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.
 September 2018 |  Print Report

Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to  produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the  historical data observed at these stations,  global and regional climate models,  statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.  To produce monthly forecast, which are considered subseasonal forecasts, the forecast evolution of intra-seasonal oscillations such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation are paid special attention to.

Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of  September 2018 ranges from above normal rainfall in the south to below normal rainfall in the north.   Rainfall may be as low as 20-30% below normal in the north and as high as 20-30% above normal over southern areas. Nighttime (minimum) temperatures are expected to be well above normal during the month while daytime (maximum) temperatures will slightly above normal.

Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in September 2018 are as follows:

RegionStationRainfall Amount (mm)Category
NorthLibertad140-160Below Normal
NorthTower Hill140-160Below Normal
NorthRio Bravo145-165Below Normal
Central Inland AreasCentral Farm150-170Slightly Below
Central Inland AreasBelmopan235-275Near Normal
Central Coastal AreasAirport230-270Near Normal
Mountainous AreasBaldy Beacon240-280slightly Above
SouthPomona350-450slighty Above
SouthSavannah340-420slightly Above
SouthPunta Gorda630-730Above Normal

The maps below show approximate rainfall totals that can be expected. The expected maximum and minimum temperatures are also shown. Users are advised that the amounts shown are only an approximation and are therefore cautioned not to focus on the exact value on the maps but instead to expect that the rainfall and temperature should be somewhere in that general range.

Disclaimer

The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald

Last Updated: Fri, Sep 14, 2018 | 10:51 PM