Monthly Rainfall Forecast - National Meteorological Service of Belize
 December 2018 |  Print Report

Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to  produce monthly and seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast. This is done by using the  historical data observed at these stations,  global and regional climate models,  statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.  To produce monthly forecast, which are considered sub-seasonal forecasts, the forecast evolution of intra-seasonal oscillations such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation are paid special attention to.

Based on these inputs, the Rainfall Forecast for the country for the month of  December 2018 is for near normal rainfall with the possibility of slightly above normal amounts in the south and slightly below normal amounts in the North and West. Maximum/daytime temperatures and minimum/nighttime temperatures are expected to be above normal during the month.

Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in December 2018 are as follows:

RegionStationRainfall Amount (mm)Category
NorthLibertad55-65Normal-Slightly Below
NorthTower Hill60-70Normal-Slightly Below
NorthRio Bravo55-65Normal-Slightly Below
Central Inland AreasCentral Farm105-125Normal-Slightly Below
Central Inland AreasBelmopan130-150Near Normal
Central Coastal AreasAirport130-150Near Normal
Mountainous AreasBaldy Beacon180-220Near Normal
SouthPomona180-200Normal-Slightly Above
SouthSavannah150-170Normal-Slightly Above
SouthPunta Gorda200-240Normal-Slightly Above

The maps below show approximate rainfall totals that can be expected. The expected maximum and minimum temperatures are also shown. Users are advised that the amounts shown are only an approximation and are therefore cautioned not to focus on the exact value on the maps but instead to expect that the rainfall and temperature should be somewhere in that general range.

Disclaimer

The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald

Last Updated: Wed, Dec 05, 2018 | 01:15 PM