Monthly Rainfall Forecast - National Meteorological Service of Belize
 March 2019 |  Print Report

Several agro-meteorological stations across the country are used to  produce monthly rainfall and temperature forecasts. This is done by using the  historical data observed at these stations,  global and regional climate models,  statistical models such as the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) and Subjective inputs.  Monthly forecast are considered sub-seasonal forecasts and the evolution of intra-seasonal oscillations play a significant role in these forecasts.  One example of a sub-seasonal oscillation which carries significant weight in producing the monthly forecast is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO).

Based on the above inputs, rainfall totals in March 2019 are expected to be below normal over the Stann Creek and most of the Cayo District. Rainfall amounts are expected to be near normal to slightly above normal over southern Toledo and northern Belize and Orange Walk districts. Meanwhile up north in the Corozal District, rainfall totals are expected to be slightly below normal.  Maximum/daytime temperatures are expected to be normal to slightly warmer than normal and minimum/nighttime temperatures are expected to be above normal during the month.

Rainfall amounts that are expected across key districts stations in March 2019 are as follows:

RegionStationRainfall Amount (mm)Category
NorthLibertad30-40Normal-Slightly Below
NorthTower Hill30-40Normal-Slightly Above
NorthRio Bravo30-40Normal-Slightly Above
Central Inland AreasCentral Farm30-40Below Normal
Central Inland AreasBelmopan35-45Below Normal
Central Coastal AreasAirport45-55Normal-Slightly Above
Mountainous AreasBaldy Beacon50-70Normal-Slightly Below
SouthPomona40-50Below Normal
SouthSavannah40-50Below Normal
SouthPunta Gorda70-90Normal-Slightly Above

The maps below show approximate rainfall totals that can be expected. The expected maximum and minimum temperatures are also shown. Users are advised that the amounts shown are only an approximation and are therefore cautioned not to focus on the exact value on the maps but instead to expect that the rainfall and temperature should be somewhere in that general range.

Disclaimer

The information is provided with the understanding that The National Meteorological Service makes no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or suitability of the Outlook. The information may be used freely by the public with appropriate acknowledgement of its source, but shall not be modified in content and then presented as original material.

Forecaster: Gordon, Ronald

Last Updated: Tue, Mar 05, 2019 | 10:17 AM