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NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BELIZE

FORECAST DISCUSSION

DATE: THURSDAY 24TH APRIL 2014 (EVENING)   

 WEATHER CONDITIONS TURNED OUT SUNNY AND DRY THE COUNTRY TODAY.

SATPIX IMAGERY (VIS) RESOLVED  MOSTLY FAIR WX CUMULUS CLOUDS OVER MAINLAND BZE. BZE RADAR SHOWED THE COUNTRY QUITE FREE FROM ANY MAJOR CONVECTIVE CLOUD FORMATIONS.

SFC ANALYSIS FOR 24-18Z DEFINED A WEAKENING SFC HIGH(1016hPa) CNTRD OVER THE NE GULFOMEX NEAR 29°N87°W .  SFC FLOW OVER BZE AND COASTAL WATERS WAS A LIGHT E'L Y.

GFS MODEL FCST BASED ON  18Z DATA  INDICATED THE LIGHT E'LY TO SE'LY  FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER BZE AND COASTAL WATERS  THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK RIDGE AT 850hPa OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL SUPPORT A LIGHT E'LY YO SE'LY FLOW OVER BZE AND COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

AT MID LVLS (500-400hPa). LIGHT  NW'LY  WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER BZE AT THIS LVL.THIS  IS A CONSEQUENCE OF AN EXTENSIVE RIDGE STRUNG ACROSS THE  WRN CARIBBEAN/CNTRL AMERICA.

AT UPPER LVLS (300-200hPa)AN UPPER LVL RIDGE EXTENDED FROM NW VENEZUELA AND THE SW CARIBBEAN ACROSS CNTRL AMERICA TO WRN HONDURAS. THE RIDGE WAS PRODUCING W'LY   WINDS WILL OVER CNTRL AMERICA AND THE WRN CARIBBEAN. PATTERN WILL BE  DIVERGENT.

PRECIP MODEL FCST (GFS) IS SUGGESTING  VERY LIMITED OR NON EXISTENT  RAINFALL FOR BZE AND COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAYNO MAJOR CHANGE IN THIS TREND IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FORECAST:    CLEAR TONIGHT AND SUNNY TOMORROW. LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. 

EXTENDED: (SATURDAY EVENING):CONTINUING MAINLY  WARM AND DRY WEATHER.  

MARINE:  WINDS: E/SE 5-15 KTS.; SEAS: LIGHT CHOP - CHOPPY.; WAVES: 1-3 FT.

FORECASTER:   F.Tench Jr.