Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

SKIES WERE  CLOUDY  AT TIMES  ACROSS BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON.  RADAR IMAGES  SHOWED A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE COUNTRY, BUT MORE OVER THE NORTHERN DISTRICTS.  WATER  VAPOR LOOP  SHOWED  MOIST AIR ALOFT, WHILE MIMIC SHOWED PWAT'S VALUE  NEAR 40-45MM.

AT UPPER LEVELS, TROUGHING  SUPPORTED N-NW'LY WINDS. THE PATTERN WAS WEAKLY DIVERGENT.  AT 700MB CONDITIONS WERE DRY  AND THE FLOW WAS E'LY. AT 850MB CONDITIONS WERE  DRY AND THE FLOW WAS E'LY. THE 18Z SURFACE CHART(NHC) SHOWED A TROUGH OVER  WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND   A TROPICAL WAVE WAS NEAR 82W. A LIGHT E'LY FLOW PREVAILED. THE 00Z SOUNDING DATA SHOWED PWAT'S VALUE TO BE 35.72, KINX'S; -9.90 AND CAPE'S; 1275.

DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS,  THE TROUGH WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND RIDGING FORM THE NORTH WILL SUPPORT E'LY .  THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN MOSTLY NEUTRAL TO WEKLY CONVERGENT.   AT 700MB  MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE NORTH TOMORROW MORNING, DRYING OUT BY EVENING(TROPICAL WAVE). MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTH SUN NIGHT TEMPORARILY, THEN INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE NORTH MON MORNING, BEFORE DRYING OUT. THE FLOW WILL PERSIST FROM THE EAST.   AT 850MB, MOISTURE WILL FLUCTUATE, WHILE, THE FLOW PERSIST FROM THE EAST . AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL CROSS THE COUNTRY SUN MORNING.  THE FLOW WILL BACK TO THE E-NE, REMAING LIGHT.

DURING THE 24-48 HRS PERIOD  GFS   SHOWS  A  RAINFALL RANGE OF .01-.25IN/3HRS, WHILE NAM PEAKS  AT .75IN/3HRS.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT AND A FEW CLOUDY PERIODS TOMORROW. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED, EXCEPT FOR A FEW MORE OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS TOMORROW MORNING.
A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE SOUTH SUN NIGHT, SHIFTING TO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS MON MORNING. SHOWERS WILL BE ISOLATED ELSEWHERE.
Winds Seas Waves
East | 5-15 kts Choppy 3-5 ft

Forecaster: Wellington, Francisca

Last Updated: Sat, Oct 20, 2018 | 07:09 PM