Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
  • Small Craft Caution in effect for gusty winds and occasionally rough seas.
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

SKIES WERE  CLOUDY    ACROSS THE  COUNTRY THIS MORNING.  RADAR IMAGES  SHOWED  SHOWERS AND RAIN  AFFECTED THE COAST AND SEAS.   WATER  VAPOR LOOP  SHOWED  DRY AIR ALOFT, WHILE MIMIC SHOWED PWAT'S VALUE  NEAR  40-45 MM.

AT UPPER LEVELS, TROUGHING  SUPPORTED  S-SW'LY WINDS . THE PATTERN WAS NEUTRAL.  AT 700MB CONDITIONS WERE MOIST  AND THE FLOW WAS E'LY. AT 850MB CONDITIONS WERE RELATIVELY  MOIST   AND THE FLOW WAS W'LY. THE 12Z SURFACE CHART(NHC) SHOWED A COLD  FRONT OVER WESTERN YUCATAN  TO FLORIDA,  RIDGING OVER THE CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO SUPPORTED  LIGHT W'LY WINDS  AND   A TROPICAL WAVE WAS NEAR 68W . 

DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS, TROUGHING WILL MAINTAIN SW'LY WINDS ALOFT. THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE DIVERGENT.   AT 700MB  MOISTURE WILL INCREASE  ACROSS THE COUNTRY.  THE FLOW WILL BACK TO THE  NORTHEAST.   AT 850MB, MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND  THE FLOW WILL VEER   TO THE  NORTH AND NORTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE, MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AND WINDS WILL PERSIST FROM  THE NW AS  THE COLD FRONT ADVANCES AND  CROSS THE COUNTRY LATER TONIGHT.  WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY.

DURING THE 24-48 HRS PERIOD  GFS   SHOWS  A  RAINFALL RANGE OF 0-.25 IN/3HRS, WHILE NAM PEAKS  AT 2.0IN/3HRS.

CLOUDY WITH SOME SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER INLAND AND NORTHERN AREAS THIS AFTERNOON THEN NORTHERN AND COASTAL AREAS TONIGHT. LIGHT RAIN WILL AFFECT MAINLY THE SEA TOMORROW MORNING.
BETWEEN THURS AFTERNOON AND FRI MIDDAY CLOUDY, COOL, WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL..
Winds Seas Waves
West-Northwest | 10-20 kts | Gusty Moderate-Rough 5-7 ft

Forecaster: Wellington, Francisca

Last Updated: Wed, Nov 14, 2018 | 11:55 AM