Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
  • Small Craft Caution in effect for gusty winds and occasionally rough seas.
Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

SKIES WERE PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE COUNTRY TODAY WITH SHOWERS DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE COUNTRY. ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPED OVER THE NORTH, SOUTH AND OFFSHORE AREAS TONIGHT. WV IMAGERY SHOWED A RELATIVELY MOIST UPP LEVS OVER THE AREA AND THE LATEST PWAT IMAGE SHOWED RELATIVELY MOIST CONDITIONS NEAR BZE WITH VALUES OF 55-60MM WITH DRIER CONDITIONS FURTHER EAST.  SOUNDING 00Z HAD A PWAT VALUE OF 52.19MM IN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. 

THE SURFACE ANALYSIS 18Z SHOWED A TROPICAL WAVE JUST TO THE EAST OF BZE THAT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OVER THE COUNTRY TONIGHT AND ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. A 1009 LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS OVER THE PANAMA AND COLUMBIA BORDER. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS DOMINATED MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN USA WITH A STATIONARY FRONT OFF THE EAST COAST OF THE US INTO THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC. A MODERATE TO GUSTY E-SE'LY AIRFLOW PREVAILED OVER BZE AS THE ATL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN. THE CONDITIONS AT THE UPP AND LOW LEVS OVER BZE WERE NEUTRAL WITH AN UPP LEV TROUGH OVER THE AREA. 

THE GFS FCSTS ARE DECREASE IN MOISTURE  AND LOW LEV CONVERGENCE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS BEFORE A SLIGHT INCREASE IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS SUGGESTS THAT CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA WILL LIKELY SUPPORT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE COMING FEW DAYS. THE MODELS (NAM AND WRF) GENEARLLY AGREES WITH THE GFS AND GOES FOR A DECREASE IN SHOWERY ACTIVITY OVER THE AREA, EXCEPT FOR A FEW MORE OVER THE SOUTH IN THE NIGHTIME FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. 

CLOUDY AT TIMES TONIGHT AND MOSTLY SUNNY TOMORROW. SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED, EXCEPT FOR A FEW MORE OVER THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING.
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
Winds Seas Waves
East-Southeast | 10-20 kts | Gusty Moderate-Rough 5-7 ft

Forecaster: Young, Shanea

Last Updated: Wed, Jun 28, 2017 | 08:53 PM