Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
  • Small Craft Caution in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas.
Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

ACROSS THE COUNTRY TODAY, SAT IMAGERY SHOWED THAT SKIES WERE VARIABLY CLOUDY AT THE LOW LEVS, AND SOME HIGH LEV CI CLOUDS ALSO STREAMED ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THESE CI CLOUDS WERE PROVIDED BY AN UPPER LEV JET STREAM WHICH EXISTED OVER S'RN MEX, GUATEMALA, BELIZE, AND EVEN N'RN HONDURAS. IT STREAMED ACROSS FROM THE SW, FROM OVER EPAC. RELATIVE TO BZE, THIS JET STREAM FAVORS MORE OF AN UPPER LEV CONVERGENCE PATTERN. MEANWHILE, AT THE LOW LEVS... NEAR THE SFC AND UP TO ABOUT 800HPA,  THIS EVENING'S SOUNDING SUGGESTED BACKING OF THE WINDS, CONTINUING TO SUGGEST ADVECTION OF COLD AIR OVER US. THEN, FROM ABOUT 800HPA TO ABOUT MID LEVS, THERE WAS VEERING OF THE WINDS, SUGGESTING WARM AIR ADVECTION IN THIS LAYER. NOTING THIS, ALONG WITH STABILITY INDICES, BZE IS UNDER A VERY STABLE ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE ATM. STRONG CAPPING WAS NEAR 700HPA, FURTHER REASSURING THERE BEING STABLE CONDITIONS. COMPARED TO THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE SOUNDING ALSO SUGGESTED A LESS DRY ENVIRONMENT, ABOVE 700HPA. 

SOME INCREASE IN MOSITURE IS FCST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, ESPECIALLY AT THE UPPER LEVS AT FIRST. THEN, ON WEDNESDAY, LOW-MID LEV MOISTURE IS TO ALSO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY TO SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN PRECIP ACTIVITY OVER OUR AREA. THE MODELS (GFS, NAM, WRF) ALL AGREE WITH THIS SUGGESTION. WITH THE NW-N'LY WINDS SUGGESTED FOR WEDNESDAY, AREAS OF THE COUNTRY EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE ANY OF THIS PRECIP/RR WOULD BE MAINLY OFFSHORE, AND THEN ON THURSDAY, WITH WINDS BECMG N-NE'LY, CNTRL AND S'RN AREAS (INCLUDING THE COAST) WOULD BE EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN AREAS TO EXPERIENCE RR. 

FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW IS FOR CONTINUING COOL AND VARIABLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS, WITH SHOWERS BEING GENERALLY ISOLATED, TO OCCUR MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN OFFSHORE AREAS.
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IS FOR CONTINUING COOL WEATHER WITH A FEW SHOWERS TO OCCUR ESPECIALLY OVER THE SEA.
Winds Seas Waves
North-Northeast | 10-20 kts | Gusty Moderate-Rough 4-7 ft

Forecaster: Guy, Angelia

Last Updated: Mon, Jan 15, 2018 | 07:54 PM