Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize

MAINLY FAIR WEATHER PREVAILED ACROSS THE COUNTRY OVERNIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL WAS DETECTED BY RADAR IMAGERY AND NONE RECORDED BY THE AUTOMATIC STATIONS AROUND THE COUNTRY. SKIES BECAME PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH THIS MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPED BEYOND THE REEF AFTER 7 AM. MOISTURE LEVELS CONTINUE LOW OVER THE AREA WITH THE LATEST SATELLITE PWAT IMAGERY SHOWING VALUES OF 20-25MM OVER THE AREA AND HIGHER VALUES TO THE EAST OF BZE. THE SOUNDING 12Z SHOWED THE LITTLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE CAPPED IN THE LOW LEVELS BELOW 800hPA. THE UPPER LEVELS CONTINUE TO BE DRY AND STABLE AS NEUTRAL CONDITIONS PREVAIL OVER THE AREA WITH A NEAR ZONAL FLOW AND RIDGING THE DOMINANT FACTOR OVER BELIZE AND THE CARIBBEAN.

THE SURFACE ANALYSIS 06Z SHOWED SURFACE RIDGES OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDING INTO THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN SUPPORTING THE LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS OVER THE AREA. A SURFACE TROUGH WAS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WERE ALSO ANALYSED OVER COLUMBIA AND MAINLAND MEXICO.  A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SHOULD REACH THE NW CARIBBEAN BY MID-WEEK. THIS FRONT WILL SUPPORT THE SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA AROUND THAT TIME. THE SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER THE NEXT 24-36HRS THEN INCREASE TO 5-15 AS THE FRONT BECOME NEARER. MOISTURE WILL ALSO CONTINUE LOW BUT BEGIN TO INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON OVER SOME AREAS. A NEAR ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT THE UPPER LEVELS SUPPRESSING ANY DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. 

THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS CONTINUE LOW TODAY THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE TOMORROW IN THE NORTH WITH 0.25INS/3RS THEN FURTHER INCREAING SOUTH TOMORROW NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH RAINFALL MAXIMAS OF 0.50INS/3HRS. THUS,  SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLEAR TONIGHT WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED.IS FOR GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER WEATHER AND GENERALLY ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH TUESDAY MORNING, INCREASING TO A FEW MOSTLY OVER INLAND AND SOUTHERN AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLEAR TONIGHT WITH LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL EXPECTED.
IS FOR GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER WEATHER AND GENERALLY ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH TUESDAY MORNING, INCREASING TO A FEW MOSTLY OVER INLAND AND SOUTHERN AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
Winds Seas Waves
East-Northeast | 5-10 kts Slight 1-2 ft

Forecaster: Young, Shanea

Last Updated: Mon, Mar 25, 2019 | 08:04 AM