Forecast Discussion - National Meteorological Service of Belize
  • Small craft warning for gusty winds and rough seas. Operators of small crafts are advised to stay in safe harbor.
Hurricane Tips
  •  Fill sinks, bathtub and large containers with water as an extra supply for washing and flushing.
  •  During the hurricane season, fisher folks are strongly advised to stay informed via radio, listen to the weather bulletin before venturing out to sea. Move your boat to safe harbor early.
  •  Prepare your car in case of evacuation. Fill your tank and check your tires.
  •  Upon alert, farmers should harvest crops which can be stored, consumed and sold.

MODERATE WINDS CONTINUED ESPECIALLY NEAR COASTAL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED THAT LATE THIS EVEING, GENERALLY ISOLATED OCCURRED OVER THE EXTREME NORTH OF THE COUNTRY. AWS RECORDED 5.5MM OF RR IN RANCHITO, AND 1.7MM IN LIBERTAD. OTHER N'RN STATIONS RECEIVED TRACE AMTS OF RR. THIS EVENING'S SOUNDING SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY WITH A RELATIVELY MOIST LOW LEVS; PWAT WAS NEAR 40MM. SOUNDINGS, AND SAT PWAT IMAGERY SHOWED THAT MOISTURE OVER BZE DECREASED DURING THE DAY, ONLY TO INCREASE AGAIN BY THIS EVENING. 

SFC ANALYSIS (18Z) SHOWED THAT A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A STRONG NORTH ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND A TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL/W'RN CARIB EXISTED MOSTLY OVER THE W'RN CARIB. SFC FLOW OVER BZE WAS GENERALLY E'LY TO ESE'LY THIS EVENING. STRONGER WINDS/GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO SET IN LATER TONIGHT, AND CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH LATE TOMORROW MORNING. 
STRONG ANTICYCLONE WAS MAPPED TO THE MID LEVS AND EVEN TO THE UPPER LEVS OVER W'RN NORTH ATLANTIC. AT THE UPPER LEVS, TROUGHING EXTENDED EAST OF THE COUNTRY, IN A DIAGONAL ORIENTATION OF ITS AXIS, NE-SW, EXTENDING FROM OVER THE N ATL TO OVER THE W'RN/CNTRL CARIB. 

THE NAM IS SUGGESTING LOW TO MOD AMTS OF RR OVER CNTRL/S'RN BZE, WHILE THE GFS KEEPS LOW AMTS MAINLY OVER N'RN AND AT TIMES OVER CNTRL BZE, DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE WRF SHOWS ONLY ISOL RR ACTIVITY FOR OVER CNTRL AREAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE FCST WIND FLOW OF E-SE'LY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WOULD SUGGEST THAT ANY PRECIP ACTIVITY THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL MOVE MAINLY OVER CNTRL AND N'RN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. GOING TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK, ALL MODELS AGREE WITH A DECREASING TREND IN PRECIP ACTIVITY AND VERY LITTLE RR AMTS. 

PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING CLOUDY AT TIMES TONIGHT, AND SUNNY WITH A FEW CLOUDY SPELLS TOMORROW. SHOWERS WILL BE GENERALLY ISOLATED, EXCEPT FOR A FEW MORE OVER THE SOUTH TONIGHT, AND THEN OVER NORTHERN AND SOME CENTRAL AREAS TOMORROW.
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY IS FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES, BECOMING CLOUDY AT TIMES, ALONG WITH THE CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTH DURING THE NIGHT, AND THEN OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS ON THURSDAY.
Winds Seas Waves
East-Southeast | 15-25 kts | Gusty Rough-Very Rough 6-10 ft

Forecaster: Guy, Angelia

Last Updated: Tue, Feb 20, 2018 | 08:32 PM